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Nico Collins Superflex Value & Dynasty Ranking
- Position
- WR
- Team
- HOU
- ECR Rank
- 22
- Tier
- B2
- Age
- 27
Nico Collins is a 27-year-old WR for the Texans who grades as a tier B2 asset in our 2026 superflex rankings, with an expert consensus rank (ECR) of 22 against an average draft position of 23.7. Our current projection, built from Sleeper depth-chart data and a 16-game baseline, calls for roughly 85 receptions, 1,150 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns, which lands him near 17.0 fantasy points per game. The market is sleeping on him a little: his average ADP of 23.7 sits 1.7 picks behind his ECR of 22, so you can usually draft him one to two rounds after his true consensus value. The schedule bears watching, though: his playoff-window opponents (weeks 15 through 17) average a 16.3 defensive rank against a 15.3 regular-season mark, so plan a contingency for the title weeks.
Draft-Value Verdict
Drafted near consensus — ADP within 1.7 picks of ECR.
Average ADP: 23.7 vs ECR 22 (value).
ADP Comparison
| Format | ADP | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog | 23.7 | flat |
| Sleeper | 23.7 | flat |
| PrizePicks | 23.7 | flat |
2026 Schedule Edge
He draws a league-average regular-season schedule and a league-average playoff schedule across the fantasy playoffs.
- Regular-season avg def rank
- 15.3 of 32
- Playoff-window avg (wks 15-17)
- 16.3 of 32
Week-by-Week Matchup Matrix
| Week | Opp | WR def rank | PPG allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 13 | 16.3 |
| 2 | LV | 9 | 14.8 |
| 3 | PIT | 28 | 21.6 |
| 4 | GB | 19 | 18.4 |
| 5 | CIN | 18 | 18 |
| 6 | NYG | 8 | 14.5 |
| 7 | BYE | ||
| 8 | JAX | 29 | 21.9 |
| 9 | NYJ | 5 | 13.4 |
| 10 | LAC | 14 | 16.6 |
| 11 | CLE | 26 | 20.9 |
| 12 | BUF | 25 | 20.5 |
| 13 | CHI | 3 | 12.7 |
| 14 | PHI | 23 | 19.8 |
| 15 | KC | 12 | 15.9 |
| 16 | BAL | 10 | 15.2 |
| 17 | MIA | 27 | 21.2 |
| 18 | WSH | 6 | 13.8 |
Soft matchups (def rank ≤ 12) shaded. Source: 2024 defensive rankings, cross-domain join with DraftSOS hub data.
21+. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Projections are for entertainment only. Not financial or betting advice.
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