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Josh Allen Superflex Value & Dynasty Ranking
- Position
- QB
- Team
- BUF
- ECR Rank
- 1
- Tier
- A1
- Age
- 30
Josh Allen is a QB for the Bills who enters the 2026 season at age 30, and our superflex rankings place him in tier A1 with an expert consensus rank (ECR) of 1 and an average draft position of 27.8. Our current projection, built from Sleeper depth-chart data and a 16-game baseline, calls for roughly 4,100 passing yards and 32 passing touchdowns, plus about 520 rushing yards and 7 scores on the ground, which lands him near 29.6 fantasy points per game. The market is sleeping on him a little: his average ADP of 27.8 sits 26.8 picks behind his ECR of 1, so you can usually draft him one to two rounds after his true consensus value. The schedule bears watching, though: his playoff-window opponents (weeks 15 through 17) average a 14 defensive rank against a 13.9 regular-season mark, so plan a contingency for the title weeks.
Draft-Value Verdict
Strong value pick — his ADP sits 26.8 picks behind his ECR.
Average ADP: 27.8 vs ECR 1 (value).
ADP Comparison
| Format | ADP | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog | 27.8 | flat |
| Sleeper | 27.8 | flat |
| PrizePicks | 27.8 | flat |
2026 Schedule Edge
He draws a league-average regular-season schedule and a league-average playoff schedule across the fantasy playoffs.
- Regular-season avg def rank
- 13.9 of 32
- Playoff-window avg (wks 15-17)
- 14 of 32
Week-by-Week Matchup Matrix
| Week | Opp | QB def rank | PPG allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 13 | 17.8 |
| 2 | LAR | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | TEN | 9 | 16.3 |
| 4 | DEN | 7 | 15.6 |
| 5 | SF | 5 | 14.9 |
| 6 | DET | 3 | 14.2 |
| 7 | NYG | 28 | 23.1 |
| 8 | GB | 30 | 23.8 |
| 9 | NYG | 28 | 23.1 |
| 10 | JAX | 26 | 22.4 |
| 11 | BYE | ||
| 12 | HOU | 1 | 13.5 |
| 13 | PHI | 20 | 20.2 |
| 14 | BAL | 18 | 19.5 |
| 15 | WSH | 16 | 18.8 |
| 16 | TB | 14 | 18.1 |
| 17 | MIN | 12 | 17.4 |
| 18 | IND | 10 | 16.7 |
Soft matchups (def rank ≤ 12) shaded. Source: 2024 defensive rankings, cross-domain join with DraftSOS hub data.
21+. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Projections are for entertainment only. Not financial or betting advice.
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