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Joe Burrow Superflex Value & Dynasty Ranking
- Position
- QB
- Team
- CIN
- ECR Rank
- 11
- Tier
- B1
- Age
- 29
Joe Burrow is a 29-year-old QB for the Bengals who grades as a tier B1 asset in our 2026 superflex rankings, with an expert consensus rank (ECR) of 11 against an average draft position of 47.6. Our current projection, built from Sleeper depth-chart data and a 16-game baseline, calls for roughly 4,500 passing yards and 36 passing touchdowns, plus about 150 rushing yards and 2 scores on the ground, which lands him near 30.0 fantasy points per game. The market is sleeping on him a little: his average ADP of 47.6 sits 36.6 picks behind his ECR of 11, so you can usually draft him one to two rounds after his true consensus value. The schedule also leans friendly: his playoff-window opponents (weeks 15 through 17) average a 7 defensive rank against a 13 regular-season mark, a soft stretch for a title run.
Draft-Value Verdict
Strong value pick — his ADP sits 36.6 picks behind his ECR.
Average ADP: 47.6 vs ECR 11 (value).
ADP Comparison
| Format | ADP | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog | 47.6 | flat |
| Sleeper | 47.6 | flat |
| PrizePicks | 47.6 | flat |
2026 Schedule Edge
He draws a soft regular-season schedule and a soft playoff schedule in weeks 15-17.
- Regular-season avg def rank
- 13 of 32
- Playoff-window avg (wks 15-17)
- 7 of 32
Week-by-Week Matchup Matrix
| Week | Opp | QB def rank | PPG allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 6 | 15.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 4 | 14.6 |
| 3 | NE | 2 | 13.9 |
| 4 | PIT | 31 | 24.1 |
| 5 | HOU | 1 | 13.5 |
| 6 | ARI | 27 | 22.7 |
| 7 | NYJ | 25 | 22 |
| 8 | CLE | 23 | 21.3 |
| 9 | CHI | 21 | 20.6 |
| 10 | KC | 19 | 19.9 |
| 11 | MIA | 17 | 19.2 |
| 12 | SEA | 15 | 18.5 |
| 13 | KC | 19 | 19.9 |
| 14 | BYE | ||
| 15 | TEN | 9 | 16.3 |
| 16 | DEN | 7 | 15.6 |
| 17 | SF | 5 | 14.9 |
| 18 | DET | 3 | 14.2 |
Soft matchups (def rank ≤ 12) shaded. Source: 2024 defensive rankings, cross-domain join with DraftSOS hub data.
21+. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Projections are for entertainment only. Not financial or betting advice.
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