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Caleb Williams Superflex Value & Dynasty Ranking
- Position
- QB
- Team
- CHI
- ECR Rank
- 27
- Tier
- B2
- Age
- 24
Caleb Williams is a 24-year-old QB whom we slot in tier B2 of our 2026 superflex rankings, carrying an expert consensus rank (ECR) of 27 and an average draft position of 106.3. Our current projection, built from Sleeper depth-chart data and a 16-game baseline, calls for roughly 3,800 passing yards and 26 passing touchdowns, plus about 380 rushing yards and 3 scores on the ground, which lands him near 25.2 fantasy points per game. The market is sleeping on him a little: his average ADP of 106.3 sits 79.3 picks behind his ECR of 27, so you can usually draft him one to two rounds after his true consensus value. The schedule bears watching, though: his playoff-window opponents (weeks 15 through 17) average a 15 defensive rank against a 12.8 regular-season mark, so plan a contingency for the title weeks.
Draft-Value Verdict
Strong value pick — his ADP sits 79.3 picks behind his ECR.
Average ADP: 106.3 vs ECR 27 (value).
ADP Comparison
| Format | ADP | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog | 106.3 | flat |
| Sleeper | 106.3 | flat |
| PrizePicks | 106.3 | flat |
2026 Schedule Edge
He draws a soft regular-season schedule and a league-average playoff schedule across the fantasy playoffs.
- Regular-season avg def rank
- 12.8 of 32
- Playoff-window avg (wks 15-17)
- 15 of 32
Week-by-Week Matchup Matrix
| Week | Opp | QB def rank | PPG allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | 14 | 18.1 |
| 2 | MIN | 12 | 17.4 |
| 3 | IND | 10 | 16.7 |
| 4 | DAL | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | NO | 6 | 15.3 |
| 6 | CAR | 4 | 14.6 |
| 7 | NE | 2 | 13.9 |
| 8 | BYE | ||
| 9 | CIN | 29 | 23.4 |
| 10 | ARI | 27 | 22.7 |
| 11 | KC | 19 | 19.9 |
| 12 | CLE | 23 | 21.3 |
| 13 | HOU | 1 | 13.5 |
| 14 | KC | 19 | 19.9 |
| 15 | MIA | 17 | 19.2 |
| 16 | SEA | 15 | 18.5 |
| 17 | ATL | 13 | 17.8 |
| 18 | LAR | 11 | 17 |
Soft matchups (def rank ≤ 12) shaded. Source: 2024 defensive rankings, cross-domain join with DraftSOS hub data.
21+. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Projections are for entertainment only. Not financial or betting advice.
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